The New York Mets (-155) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+130) on Tuesday, August 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Mets are 59-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 57-56 ATS.

Mets vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 7-4, 3.91 ERA
• Rockies starting pitcher: Kyle Freeland 3-4, 5.68 ERA

Mets vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 away games (+37.50 Units / 341% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+14.40 Units / 49% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+12.35 Units / 29% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+12.25 Units / 53% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.95 Units / 56% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 31 games (+36.80 Units / 119% ROI)
• Brendan Rodgers has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 21 games at home (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
• Brenton Doyle has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 18 games at home (+10.70 Units / 59% ROI)
• Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+9.55 Units / 65% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 53 games (+14.40 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 62 of their last 103 games (+13.20 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+10.90 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 71 games (+8.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 64 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)

Rockies Best Bets Today:

• The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 15 games at home (+8.85 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games at home (+8.35 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 53% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 36 games at home (+6.05 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 43% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 55-57 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -1.87% ROI).

• 59-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 1.08% ROI
• 57-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.9 Units / 2.37% ROI
• 49-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.9 Units / -10.77% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 57-56 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -8.03% ROI).

• 41-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.95 Units / -7.94% ROI
• 57-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.25 Units / -1.83% ROI
• 54-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.8 Units / -7.12% ROI

Rockies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Rockies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (32/182) against Luis Severino this season — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (66/369) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (222/520) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed a slugging percentage of .500 (33 Total Bases / 66 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 10th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .389 — 18th Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kyle Freeland has allowed a slugging percentage of .616 (122 Total Bases / 198 ABs) on changeups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .374 — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .399 (79-for-198) against Kyle Freeland’s changeup since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.

Kyle Freeland has averaged 88.8 MPH on fastballs in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 93.5 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .455 (20-for-44) against Kyle Freeland in close and late situations since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 174 total IP; League Avg: .237 — second Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

  
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