The New York Mets (-110) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-110) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mets are 34-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 31-41 ATS.

Mets vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 4-2, 3.10 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen 4-3, 2.90 ERA

Mets vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+16.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.10 Units / 262% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 14 away games (+10.80 Units / 74% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 35 games (+10.50 Units / 15% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+10.40 Units / 31% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 25 of his last 38 games (+21.25 Units / 41% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+18.60 Units / 34% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+15.15 Units / 37% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.25 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 27 away games (+12.30 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 27 away games (+11.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.10 Units / 52% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.00 Units / 46% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 68 games (+17.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 29 games at home (+12.30 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games at home (+8.10 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 10 games at home (+3.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.00 Units / 8% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 34-37 against the Run Line (-5.55 Units / -5.97% ROI).

• 34-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.85 Units / -6.01% ROI
• 35-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.39% ROI
• 32-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.7 Units / -7.61% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-41 against the Run Line (-15.7 Units / -16.87% ROI).

• 33-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.85 Units / -14.12% ROI
• 26-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.4 Units / -26.88% ROI
• 43-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.75 Units / 18.72% ROI

Rangers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 12% (14/113) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (38/227) against Luis Severino this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 58% (66/113) against Luis Severino this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 17% (31/188) against Luis Severino on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed batters are hitting just .100 (11-for-110) against Michael Lorenzen this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .241 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed an OPS of just .331 (127 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .709 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (13 Total Bases / 110 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 100th Percentile.

Michael Lorenzen has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 47 PAs) over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
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