The New York Mets (+115) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-135) on Monday, June 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington, TX.

This season, the Mets are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 31-40 ATS.

Mets vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 2-0, 4.32 ERA
• Rangers starting pitcher: Jon Gray 2-2, 2.18 ERA

Mets vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Mets vs Rangers and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 away games (+15.55 Units / 51% ROI)
• Luis Torrens has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games (+13.10 Units / 262% ROI)
• J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 33 games (+11.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 31 of his last 44 games (+11.05 Units / 17% ROI)
• DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+9.85 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 37 games (+19.65 Units / 39% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.60 Units / 33% ROI)
• Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+14.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Adolis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 40 games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+12.30 Units / 112% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 39% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+10.85 Units / 34% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 29 away games (+7.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 12 games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 48% ROI)

Rangers Best Bets Today:

• The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 67 games (+18.00 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games at home (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games at home (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.45 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+3.40 Units / 15% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 33-37 against the Run Line (-6.55 Units / -7.19% ROI).

• 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.05 Units / -7.59% ROI
• 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.3 Units / -1.72% ROI
• 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.7 Units / -6.36% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 31-40 against the Run Line (-14.7 Units / -15.97% ROI).

• 33-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -12.78% ROI
• 25-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.4 Units / -28.57% ROI
• 43-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.75 Units / 20.24% ROI

Rangers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Rangers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson has a strikeout rate of just 6% (3 SO in 52 PAs) over the last 14 days — lowest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 21% — second Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 54% (318/592) of right-handed hitters since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,859/3,084) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

David Peterson has located his fastball up for a strike just 49% (257/526) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .433 (65-for-150) against Jon Gray on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: .343 — second Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (302/787) against Jon Gray since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 40% (100/248) against Jon Gray this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of 38% (493/1,305) against Jon Gray since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 157 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 99th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

  
Read Full Article