The New York Mets (+135) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-160) on Friday, September 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Mets vs Phillies Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 71-82 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 67-86 ATS.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+17.70 Units / 32% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+17.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 44 games (+17.20 Units / 39% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 19 away games (+16.50 Units / 49% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Singles Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+14.45 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+14.50 Units / 32% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Runs Over in 30 of his last 42 games (+13.50 Units / 22% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 21 games (+13.45 Units / 50% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+13.15 Units / 46% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 47 games (+12.45 Units / 24% ROI)

Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 80 of their last 143 games (+18.30 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 42 games (+16.05 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 away games (+8.18 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 19 of their last 36 games (+3.65 Units / 9% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 59 of their last 96 games (+9.85 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 44 games (+8.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 45% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 48 games (+6.30 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.47 Units / 47% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 69-84 against the Run Line (-24.05 Units / -12.33% ROI).

• 71-82 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.85 Units / -14.87% ROI
• 62-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.95 Units / -18.34% ROI
• 84-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.8 Units / 9.41% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 67-86 against the Run Line (-25.85 Units / -13.73% ROI).

• 84-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.9 Units / -2.73% ROI
• 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -10 Units / -5.95% ROI
• 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.95 Units / -2.34% ROI

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 55% (218/397) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of .490 (104 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .326 — 0 Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OPS of 1.100 (104 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: .774 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 41% (164/397) against Tylor Megill when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 49% — second Perce ntile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 58% (424/734) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has a strike rate of just 61% (1,596/2,626) this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.

Taijuan Walker has struck out just 17% (61/348) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 11th Percentile.

  
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