The New York Mets (+145) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-175) on Saturday, August 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Philadelphia for Game 1 of the doubleheader.

The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).

The Mets vs Phillies Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 77-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 61-57 ATS.

Mets vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Saturday‘s matchup with 59.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 38 games (+19.40 Units / 24% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 37 of his last 59 away games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 games (+13.40 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Nick Castellanos has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 42 games at home (+16.40 Units / 19% ROI)
• J.T. Realmuto has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+11.25 Units / 32% ROI)

Phillies vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Mets Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 120 games (+16.42 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 47 of their last 86 games (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 24 games (+5.45 Units / 12% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 68 games (+16.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 65 of their last 113 games (+14.45 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 67 games (+10.55 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 30 of their last 53 games (+9.20 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.95 Units / 24% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 66-53 against the Run Line (+15.6 Units / 10.75% ROI).

• 77-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +21.35 Units / 11.81% ROI
• 61-51 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.55 Units / 3.45% ROI
• 51-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.5 Units / -11.91% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 61-57 against the Run Line (+3.15 Units / 2.21% ROI).

• 65-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 2.3% ROI
• 57-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -2.5% ROI
• 55-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.3 Units / -5.63% ROI

Trevor Williams: Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of .520 (104 Total Bases / 200 ABs) on low non-fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: .298 — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Williams has located his breaking pitches down 88% of the time (591/670) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 139 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.

Trevor Williams has located his breaking pitches down 88% of the time (190/215) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 100th Percentile.

Trevor Williams has allowed a slugging percentage of just .111 (2 Total Bases / 18 ABs) against right-handed batters this month (3 games) — 7th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .356 — 95th Percentile.

Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,585/3,613) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (587/1,382) on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (394/925) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 97th Percentile.

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.8 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season (173 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 80.3

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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