The Philadelphia Phillies (39-37) will aim to secure a pivotal series win over a division rival when they host the New York Mets (35-41) at Citizens Bank Park on Sunday, June 25.
- Mets vs Phillies Game Info
- Mets vs Phillies Odds & Spread
- Mets vs Phillies Betting Trends
- Mets vs Phillies Prediction & Pick
- Mets vs Phillies Best Bet
Mets vs Phillies Game Info
- Date:'Sunday, June 25, 2023
- Time:'1:35 p.m. ET
- Venue:'Citizens Bank Park — Philadelphia, PA
- Coverage:'WPIX and NBCSP
Pitching has been the key to success so far in this NL East series. Taijuan Walker was amazing for the Phillies in a 5-1 win on Friday night as he allowed only 1 earned run in 6 innings. Not to be outdone, Max Scherzer gave up just 2 earned runs across 6 innings for the Mets in a 4-2 win on Saturday.
Mets vs Phillies Odds & Spread
- Moneyline:'NYM: (+158) | PHI: (-188)
- Spread:'NYM: +1.5 (-125) | PHI: -1.5 (+104)
- Total:'9 — Over: (-122) | Under: (+100)
The Phillies enter this contest as home favorites on the moneyline per FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 1:35 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 9 runs with the Over favored at -122 odds.
Mets vs Phillies Betting Trends
- The Mets are 3-10 straight up in their last 13 away games.
- The total has hit the Under in eight of the Mets' last 12 games.
- Philadelphia is 14-5 straight up in its last 19 games overall.
- The total has hit the Under in each of Philadelphia's last five home games.
Mets vs Phillies Prediction & Pick
If this game follows the trend of the better starting pitcher earning a win, the Phillies have to like their chances here. Zack Wheeler gets the nod for Philadelphia on Sunday and has logged a 3.48 ERA with a 1.11 WHIP across 15 starts. Also keep in mind that the veteran has allowed fewer than 2 earned runs in four of his last five starts.
The Mets are countering with Carlos Carrasco, who has disappointed with a 6.34 ERA and a 1.55 WHIP in nine starts. The 36-year-old righty has given up at least 4 earned runs in five of those nine starts. That is not what manager Buck Showalter wants to see when his team is in desperate need of a series win.
The Phillies have emerged victorious in each of Wheeler's last three starts and I like them to do so again on Sunday afternoon. After all, Wheeler owns a 2.44 career ERA at Citizens Bank Park and a 3.29 ERA against New York. The pitching mismatch in this NL East clash is simply too hard to ignore.
Final Score Prediction:'Mets: 3 | Phillies: 6
Mets vs Phillies Best Bet
Wheeler shines brightest when pitching at home and has owned the Mets in the past. Not only that, but the opponent has al so scored 4 runs or less in 11 of Wheeler's last 14 starts. New York's offense is unlikely to stop that dominance from continuing. Showalter's squad has scored 4 runs or less in three of its last four games and ranks among the bottom half of the league when it comes to on-base percentage.