The New York Mets (+130) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-155) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Mets are 67-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 67-63 ATS.

Mets vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 7-1, 3.02 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 11-6, 3.21 ERA

Mets vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+39.00 Units / 217% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+21.30 Units / 32% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• David Peralta has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+21.00 Units / 91% ROI)
• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
• Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+13.55 Units / 45% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+12.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 70 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (+7.60 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 98 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 61-68 against the Run Line (-11.3 Units / -6.92% ROI).

• 67-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -1.77% ROI
• 64-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.15 Units / -0.81% ROI
• 59-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.4 Units / -7.52% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 67-63 against the Run Line (+6.9 Units / 4.28% ROI).

• 73-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.2 Units / 1.83% ROI
• 70-58 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.7 Units / 4.72% ROI
• 58-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.75 Units / -13.69% ROI

Padres vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 57% (60/105) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 36% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 3 of 18 batters (17%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — tied for highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — sixth Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 107 of 964 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 180 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 5 of 36 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.4 MPH (350 batted balls) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.7 — 100th Percentile.

Michael King has a strikeout rate of 34% (76 SO in 225 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 95th Percentile.

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.1 MPH since last season (613 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 89.1

Michael King has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.7 MPH on non-fastballs since last season (312 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 87.3

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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