The New York Mets (-115) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (-105) on Friday, March 31, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).

The Mets vs Marlins Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 1-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 0-1 ATS.

Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 67.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.95 Units / 86% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Avisail Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Peyton Burdick has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.45 Units / 182% ROI)
• Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
• Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
• Jordan Groshans has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)

Marlins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Marlins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 88 of their last 165 games (+18.75 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 89 of their last 166 games (+11.60 Units / 6% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 166 games (+11.15 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 165 games (+7.27 Units / 4% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 163 games (+5.10 Units / 3% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 1-0 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 140% ROI).

• 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 76.92% ROI
• 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
• 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 0-1 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -100% ROI).

• 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
• 1-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
• 0-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

David Peterson had a strike rate of just 59% (875/1,491) against right-handed batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a swing rate of just 37% (112/304) against David Peterson on changeups in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 52% — first Percentile.

David Peterson threw at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 52% (193/368) of opposing batters in 2022 — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 53% (239/448) of right-handed hitters since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jesus Luzardo had a strike rate of just 59% (316/534) in two strike counts in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 32% (102/319) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.

Opponents batted just .152 (30-for-197) against Jesus Luzardo on the road in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 100th Percentile.

  
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