The New York Mets (-120) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+100) on Saturday, April 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Miami.
The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+140).
The Mets vs Marlins Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 60.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Marlins and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brett Baty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.95 Units / 86% ROI)
- Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
- Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Avisail Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- Peyton Burdick has hit the Singles Over in his last 3 games at home (+5.45 Units / 182% ROI)
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+4.50 Units / 56% ROI)
- Brian Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jordan Groshans has hit the Hits Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+2.75 Units / 23% ROI)
Marlins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1600 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 +825 | 0.5 -5000 |
Marlins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Marlins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Starling Marte | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Jorge Soler | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Eduardo Escobar | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Jazz Chisholm | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Mark Canha | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Marlins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Tylor Megill | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Edward Cabrera | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 88 of their last 165 games (+18.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 89 of their last 166 games (+11.60 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 89 of their last 166 games (+11.15 Units / 5% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 92 of their last 165 games (+7.27 Units / 4% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 53 games (+6.35 Units / 10% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 62 of their last 95 games (+23.95 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+11.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 27 games at home (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 83 of their last 163 games (+5.10 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+2.70 Units / 12% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tylor Megill has allowed a slugging percentage of .568 (150 Total Bases / 264 ABs) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .392 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .380 (27-for-71) against Tylor Megill on low fastballs since the 2021 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .273 — second Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .307 (81-for-264) against Tylor Megill since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .237 — fourth Percentile.
Tylor Megill has allowed a slugging percentage of .606 (43 Total Bases / 71 ABs) on low fastballs since the 2021 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: .428 — fifth Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents batted just .177 (44-for-249) against Edward Cabrera in 2022 — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.
Edward Cabrera allowed a BABIP of .207 in 2022 — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 18% (32/174) versus Edward Cabrera in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.