The New York Mets (+100) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-120) on Friday, August 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Mets are 61-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 50-66 ATS.

Mets vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 6-7, 3.93 ERA
• Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 8-7, 3.65 ERA

Mets vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 away games (+35.50 Units / 273% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+14.40 Units / 46% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games (+11.70 Units / 26% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 19 games (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
• Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.50 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games at home (+22.70 Units / 227% ROI)
• Randy Arozarena has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 44 games (+12.75 Units / 14% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.35 Units / 27% ROI)
• Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• Dylan Moore has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+10.15 Units / 94% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 56 games (+14.90 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 63 of their last 106 games (+12.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 57 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 67 games (+7.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)

Mariners Best Bets Today:

• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+18.00 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 55 games at home (+13.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games at home (+11.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+3.15 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+0.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 57-58 against the Run Line (-1.7 Units / -1.18% ROI).

• 61-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.95 Units / 1.4% ROI
• 57-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.45 Units / -0.36% ROI
• 52-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.9 Units / -8.05% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 50-66 against the Run Line (-20.5 Units / -14.01% ROI).

• 60-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.1 Units / -6.62% ROI
• 49-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.5 Units / -15.45% ROI
• 63-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.2 Units / 7.24% ROI

Mariners vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Mariners vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

12 of Jose Quintana’s 37 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (907/1,546) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strikeout rate of just 13% (11 SO in 87 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,168/1,968) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 29% (59/200) against Bryce Miller this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (12 Total Bases / 68 ABs) on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .402 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .162 (11-for-68) against Bryce Miller on low fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .274 — 98th Percentile.

Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .232 (198 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 94th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

  
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