The New York Mets (-130) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (+110) on Thursday, April 20, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 9:45pm EDT in San Francisco.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Mets vs Giants Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 12-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 7-10 ATS.

Mets vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 66.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Giants and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 33% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.15 Units / 61% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+7.55 Units / 41% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+6.90 Units / 25% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Thairo Estrada has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 38% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+7.40 Units / 93% ROI)
• David Villar has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 46% ROI)
• Thairo Estrada has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 12 games (+6.70 Units / 56% ROI)

Giants vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Giants vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 30% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+4.45 Units / 20% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 13 away games (+3.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)

Giants Best Bets Today:

• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 33% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 14 games (+1.55 Units / 10% ROI)
• The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 7 games (+0.70 Units / 8% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 11-8 against the Run Line (+4.45 Units / 19.52% ROI).

• 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 14.42% ROI
• 8-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.1 Units / -19.48% ROI
• 11-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.35 Units / 11.33% ROI

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Giants have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -21.79% ROI).

• 6-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.95 Units / -34.15% ROI
• 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.3 Units / 1.61% ROI
• 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.85 Units / -9.84% ROI

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kodai Senga has a strikeout rate of 61% (14 SO in 23 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.

Kodai Senga has walked 4 of 16 batters (25%) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 39% (18/46) against Kodai Senga this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 33% (62/189) against Kodai Senga in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.

Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (1/22) against Sean Manaea on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Sean Manaea has thrown fastballs up 73% of the time (72/98) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 98th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has elevated his fastball 73% of the time (72/98) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 99th Percentile.

  
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