Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 18
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 18

The New York Mets (+135) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-160) on Tuesday, April 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 11-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-10 ATS.

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 73.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.55 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.10 Units / 71% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.90 Units / 63% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+6.85 Units / 34% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+6.65 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Starling Marte 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000
Tommy Pham 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
Mark Canha 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -125 0.5 -105
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Starling Marte 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Tommy Pham 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Mark Canha 0.5 -155 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Starling Marte 0.5 +280 0.5 -400
Tommy Pham 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Mark Canha 0.5 +270 0.5 -375

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tylor Megill 4.5 -140 4.5 +110
Clayton Kershaw 5.5 +100 5.5 -130

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.40 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.27 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.65 Units / 21% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.75 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.35 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games at home (+1.15 Units / 6% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 10-7 against the Run Line (+4.8 Units / 23.7% ROI).

  • 11-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 15.86% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -10.79% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 1.9% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-10 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -17.86% ROI).

  • 8-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -26.05% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.25 Units / 6.61% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -14.52% ROI

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 57% (149/262) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.

Tylor Megill has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 43% (22/51) of opposing batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Tylor Megill has allowed an OBP of just .167 (36 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .313 — 97th Percentile.

Tylor Megill has a strike rate of just 54% (108/200) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Clayton Kershaw has thrown his slider 58% of the time (221/379) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total SL; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 38% (144/376) against Clayton Kershaw when he’s behind in the count since the 2020 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 154 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Clayton Kershaw has thrown breaking pitches 76% of the time (59/78) with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — 98th Percentile.

  
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