Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17
Mets vs Dodgers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 17

The New York Mets (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-150) on Monday, April 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.

The Dodgers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Mets vs Dodgers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 10-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 7-9 ATS.

Mets vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Pete Alonso has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games (+8.25 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.85 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.35 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 66% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Trayce Thompson has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 40% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Chris Taylor has hit the Singles Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Austin Barnes has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 39% ROI)

Dodgers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +750 0.5 -3000
Starling Marte 0.5 +825 0.5 -5000
Trayce Thompson 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Mark Canha 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000

Dodgers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 -135 0.5 +105
Miguel Vargas 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Starling Marte 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Trayce Thompson 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Mark Canha 0.5 -150 0.5 +115

Dodgers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Max Muncy 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Miguel Vargas 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Starling Marte 0.5 +240 0.5 -350
Trayce Thompson 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Mark Canha 0.5 +250 0.5 -350

Dodgers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
May 4.5 -110 4.5 -120
David Peterson 5.5 -110 5.5 -120

  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.95 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.80 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+2.27 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 10 away games (+2.20 Units / 20% ROI)

  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+1.15 Units / 7% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 9-7 against the Run Line (+3.8 Units / 20.49% ROI).

  • 10-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.55 Units / 11.26% ROI
  • 7-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -17.04% ROI
  • 9-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 8.38% ROI

Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Dodgers have gone 7-9 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -13.08% ROI).

  • 8-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -22.56% ROI
  • 8-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.4% ROI
  • 7-8 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.6 Units / -9.14% ROI

Opponents are hitting .435 (10-for-23) against David Peterson’s curve and slider this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .219 — first Percentile.

David Peterson has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 51% (164/322) of right-handed hitters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 70 total IP; League Avg: 66% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .343 (12-for-35) against David Peterson’s non-fastballs this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .224 — ninth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .500 (9-for-18) against David Peterson versus the bottom of the order this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — first Percentile.

Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .115 (7-for-61) against Dustin May this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .245 — 98th Percentile.

Dustin May has allowed an OBP of just .100 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .247 — 96th Percentile.

Dustin May has allowed an OPS of just .171 (30 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .512 — 97th Percentile.

  
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