The New York Mets (-105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-115) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Mets are 69-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 69-64 ATS.

Mets vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 8-1, 2.86 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 9-6, 4.29 ERA

Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+37.00 Units / 185% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+22.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+15.50 Units / 37% ROI)
• David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.70 Units / 52% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+9.65 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 14 games (+36.40 Units / 260% ROI)
• Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+16.10 Units / 78% ROI)
• Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+15.95 Units / 55% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 41 games (+15.90 Units / 39% ROI)
• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+12.70 Units / 28% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 85 games (+10.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 74 games (+10.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 71 of their last 124 games (+9.45 Units / 6% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 77 games (+9.30 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 75 games (+6.05 Units / 7% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 77 games (+25.45 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 51 of their last 76 games (+24.90 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 41 of their last 68 games (+13.35 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+4.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+2.60 Units / 6% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 64-69 against the Run Line (-9.65 Units / -5.68% ROI).

• 69-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.65 Units / -1.61% ROI
• 67-60 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.7 Units / 0.48% ROI
• 60-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.8 Units / -8.97% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 69-64 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -0.59% ROI).

• 76-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +15.15 Units / 8.97% ROI
• 74-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.1 Units / 9.57% ROI
• 54-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -27.1 Units / -18.63% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (62/111) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

David Peterson has a strike rate of just 61% (2,378/3,919) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.

David Peterson has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (732/1,284) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 33 of 277 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .544 (249 Total Bases / 458 ABs) at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .403 — second Percentile.

Ryne Nelson has allowed a slugging percentage of .529 (262 Total Bases / 495 ABs) at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 18% (155/881) against Ryne Nelson since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .321 (147-for-458) against Ryne Nelson at home since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .244 — second Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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