The New York Mets (+105) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-125) on Wednesday, August 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.
This season, the Mets are 69-63 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 68-64 ATS.
Mets vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 9-6, 3.83 ERA
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez 2-0, 3.94 ERA
Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM
$1500 First Bet Offer
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+37.00 Units / 185% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 39 games (+23.00 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 38 games (+14.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+10.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 43 games (+32.70 Units / 76% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+17.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+16.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+15.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+13.70 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 73 games (+11.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 45 of their last 84 games (+10.80 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 70 of their last 123 games (+8.40 Units / 6% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 44 of their last 76 games (+8.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 away games (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 50 of their last 76 games (+24.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 75 games (+23.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 67 games (+11.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 64-68 against the Run Line (-7.75 Units / -4.61% ROI).
- 69-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.65 Units / -1.01% ROI
- 66-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.3 Units / -0.21% ROI
- 60-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.7 Units / -8.27% ROI
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 68-64 against the Run Line (-2.7 Units / -1.54% ROI).
- 75-57 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.15 Units / 8.44% ROI
- 73-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.1 Units / 8.96% ROI
- 54-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -26 Units / -18.01% ROI
Diamondbacks vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Diamondbacks vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +125 |
| Luis Severino (NYM) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has an ERA of 2.10 (94.1 IP) against division opponents since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 182 total IP; League Avg: 3.99 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .163 (14-for-86) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: .273 — 100th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez in the 2023 season was 382.0 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 399.8
The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez since last season is 384.2 feet — tied for 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 117 total IP; League Avg: 399.0