Mets vs. Cubs odds, picks: Advanced computer MLB model releases selections for Friday matchup

The New York Mets and Chicago Cubs continue a four-game set at Wrigley Field at 2:20 p.m. ET on Friday. New York is listed as a -140 favorite (risk $140 to win $100) at Caesars Sportsbook, while the Over-Under is set at 9 (see up-to-date'odds for every game this week on our MLB odds page). Before making any Mets vs. Cubs picks, you NEED to check out the MLB predictions from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times, and it is 275-236 on top-rated MLB money-line pic ks since the start of the 2021 season, returning over $400 for $100 players. This is the same model that pegged the 2021 Atlanta Braves at 10-1 as one of three best bets to win it all last season. Anybody who has followed it has seen profitable returns.

The model knows the Mets are playing at a high level and leading the NL East. New York is near the top of the National League in myriad offensive categories, including runs scored, hits, triples, batting average, and on-base percentage. The Mets have a deep lineup, and New York can also lean on Taijuan Walker. The 29-year-old starter has a 2.63 ERA this season and a sparkling 2.29 ERA across his last 12 outings.

The model also knows the Cubs have All-Stars in Ian Happ and Willson Contreras. However, Chicago is also deploying a quality starting pitching option on Friday. Marcus Stroman is a 31-year-old former All-Star with nearly four times as many strikeouts as walks this season. He also has a 3.55 ERA in his last seven s tarts, holding opponents to a .605 OPS in that sample and allowing more than two runs only once.

  
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