The New York Mets (-105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-115) on Saturday, September 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mets are 87-71 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 81-79 ATS.

Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 10-9, 3.73 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Jared Koenig 9-4, 2.52 ERA

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+28.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 36 games (+16.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.90 Units / 46% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+11.90 Units / 30% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+11.55 Units / 24% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+33.80 Units / 178% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+20.05 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 43 games (+15.75 Units / 36% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.05 Units / 62% ROI)
• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Walks Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.90 Units / 41% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 99 games (+20.30 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 100 games (+15.40 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 39 away games (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 102 games (+10.60 Units / 9% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 33 away games (+7.80 Units / 22% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 92 of their last 160 games (+11.95 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 89 of their last 160 games (+10.85 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 81 of their last 156 games (+10.35 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 89 of their last 160 games (+8.12 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 67 games at home (+4.75 Units / 6% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 81-77 against the Run Line (+1.85 Units / 0.92% ROI).

• 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.35 Units / 3.68% ROI
• 79-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.23% ROI
• 72-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.7 Units / -8.06% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 81-79 against the Run Line (-2.45 Units / -1.17% ROI).

• 92-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.95 Units / 5.84% ROI
• 82-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.15 Units / 4.66% ROI
• 68-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.35 Units / -12.63% ROI

Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,259/2,143) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (432/756) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (451/924) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,621/2,727) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (10/69) against Jared Koenig this season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Jared Koenig has walked 5 of 17 right-handed batters (29%) in his last five appearances — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 9% — first Percentile.

Jared Koenig has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (123/258) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 31% — 98th Percentile.

Jared Koenig has a strike rate of 81% (140/174) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 69% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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