The New York Mets (-125) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+105) on Friday, September 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.

This season, the Mets are 87-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 80-79 ATS.

Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 12-5, 3.31 ERA
• Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 7-11, 4.85 ERA

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+28.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 45% ROI)
• Sean Manaea has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Garrett Mitchell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 games (+33.80 Units / 178% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+19.05 Units / 37% ROI)
• Jackson Chourio has hit the Singles Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+17.15 Units / 40% ROI)
• Frankie Montas has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 15 of his last 19 games (+10.45 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+10.05 Units / 74% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 98 games (+21.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 99 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+11.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 91 of their last 159 games (+10.95 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 88 of their last 159 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 80 of their last 155 games (+9.35 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 88 of their last 159 games (+7.12 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 18% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 81-76 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 1.43% ROI).

• 87-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 4.29% ROI
• 78-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -0.81% ROI
• 72-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -7.46% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 80-79 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -1.66% ROI).

• 91-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 5.38% ROI
• 81-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 4.11% ROI
• 68-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.25 Units / -12.08% ROI

Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sean Manaea has a strike rate of 74% (128/174) in his last two starts — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Sean Manaea has walked 29 of 279 batters (10%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .198 (127-for-643) against Sean Manaea this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .184 (46-for-250) against Sean Manaea when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 94th Percentile.

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Frankie Montas has thrown his off-speed pitches for a strike just 54% (398/744) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 62% — 0 Percentile.

Frankie Montas has walked 20 of 175 batters (11%) versus the bottom of the order this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.

Frankie Montas has a strikeout rate of 65% (32 SO in 49 PAs) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.

Frankie Montas has allowed a slugging percentage of .717 (114 Total Bases / 159 ABs) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: .578 — second Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers

  
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