The New York Mets (+105) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-125) on Thursday, October 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:08pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Mets are 90-74 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 83-81 ATS.
Mets vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 10-10, 3.74 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Tobias Myers 9-6, 3.00 ERA
Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 105 games (+20.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 106 games (+14.65 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 39 away games (+7.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 83 away games (+7.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 away games (+4.32 Units / 15% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 94 of their last 164 games (+11.50 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 83 of their last 160 games (+10.15 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 92 of their last 164 games (+9.77 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 90 of their last 164 games (+8.50 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 71 games at home (+4.95 Units / 6% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 84-80 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.53% ROI).
- 90-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.3 Units / 3.5% ROI
- 83-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -1 Units / -0.55% ROI
- 76-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.9 Units / -7.78% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 83-81 against the Run Line (-2.25 Units / -1.05% ROI).
- 94-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.5 Units / 5.49% ROI
- 84-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 4.43% ROI
- 70-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.45 Units / -12.38% ROI
Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) |
0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) |
0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) |
0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) |
0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) |
0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| William Contreras (MIL) |
0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) |
0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) |
0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) |
0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| William Contreras (MIL) |
0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) |
0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) |
0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tobias Myers (MIL) |
4.5 +110 | 4.5 -150 |
| Jose Quintana (NYM) |
4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,306/2,224) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,676/2,819) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 57% (451/786) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (469/961) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tobias Myers has allowed a slugging percentage of .711 (32 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .403 — first Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OBP of just .220 (123 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .316 — 98th Percentile.
Tobias Myers has allowed an OPS of just .434 (124 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .727 — 99th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 30% (59/198) against Tobias Myers this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.