The New York Mets (-150) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (+125) on Tuesday, April 4, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.

The Mets are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).

The Mets vs Brewers Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Mets are 3-2 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 3-1 ATS.

Mets vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 66.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Brett Baty has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 2 away games (+2.95 Units / 86% ROI)
• Jeff McNeil has hit the RBIs Over in his last away game (+2.05 Units / 205% ROI)
• Starling Marte has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 71% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kolten Wong has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Andrew McCutchen has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Christian Yelich has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 6 of his last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 32% ROI)
• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in his last 2 games (+2.65 Units / 120% ROI)
• Esteury Ruiz has hit the Singles Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 57% ROI)

Brewers vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Brewers vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 91 of their last 170 games (+19.65 Units / 7% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 170 games (+11.00 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 90 of their last 170 games (+9.40 Units / 5% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 95 of their last 170 games (+8.74 Units / 4% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 105 of their last 170 games (+3.80 Units / 1% ROI)

Brewers Best Bets Today:

• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 90 of their last 163 games (+9.10 Units / 5% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 82 games at home (+6.25 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 43 of their last 82 games at home (+5.85 Units / 4% ROI)
• The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 44 of their last 82 games at home (+0.95 Units / 1% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 3-2 against the Run Line (+1.25 Units / 20.16% ROI).

• 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.85 Units / 14.91% ROI
• 2-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI
• 3-2 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI

Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 3-1 against the Run Line (+3.3 Units / 70.21% ROI).

• 3-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.65 Units / 34.74% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.35 Units / -7.53% ROI
• 2-2 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -2.41% ROI

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Max Scherzer has allowed an OBP of just .224 (647 PA’s) against right-handed batters since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .305 — 100th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has walked 17 of 648 right-handed batters (3%) since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 34% (344/1,010) against Max Scherzer since the 2021 season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

Max Scherzer has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.8 MPH on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season (121 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 89.7

Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Wade Miley has located his fastball inside 58% of the time (320/553) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 99th Percentile.

Wade Miley has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (382/850) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a chase rate of 34% (121/357) against Wade Miley when he’s behind in the count since the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.

  
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