The New York Mets (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Wednesday, September 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 87-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 73-84 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 9-3, 3.10 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 18-3, 2.41 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 60.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+28.00 Units / 400% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• Jose Iglesias has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.90 Units / 45% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 41 games (+22.60 Units / 32% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 37 games (+21.40 Units / 58% ROI)
• Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+14.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+14.30 Units / 55% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 30% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 98 games (+21.45 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 99 games (+16.40 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 38 away games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 101 games (+11.60 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 32 away games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 90 of their last 143 games (+36.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.55 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 40 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.40 Units / 17% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 81-76 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 1.43% ROI).

• 87-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +8.5 Units / 4.29% ROI
• 78-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.4 Units / -0.81% ROI
• 72-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.6 Units / -7.46% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 73-84 against the Run Line (-14.9 Units / -7.8% ROI).

• 86-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -8.36% ROI
• 58-93 when betting on the total runs Over for -43.25 Units / -25.23% ROI
• 93-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +29 Units / 16.65% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (100/184) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 192 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

David Peterson has allowed an OBP of .303 (502 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: .243 — first Percentile.

David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 170 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (69/123) against David Peterson on sliders since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 127 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

32 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 32% (225 SO in 702 PAs) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .192 (46-for-239) against Chris Sale when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 96th Percentile.

Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 33% (87 SO in 261 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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