The New York Mets (+120) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-145) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 87-69 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 72-84 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Luis Severino 11-6, 3.79 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 7-7, 3.61 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luisangel Acuna has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+29.00 Units / 483% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.95 Units / 19% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.30 Units / 27% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 34% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 22 of his last 35 games (+10.75 Units / 28% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 40 games (+24.50 Units / 36% ROI)
• Gio Urshela has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+20.50 Units / 205% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 21 games at home (+15.30 Units / 61% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 40 games (+14.40 Units / 33% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 97 games (+22.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 57 of their last 98 games (+18.05 Units / 15% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 59 of their last 100 games (+12.90 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 37 away games (+11.05 Units / 25% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 31 away games (+7.90 Units / 23% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 89 of their last 142 games (+35.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 34 games (+5.10 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+4.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 39 games (+2.70 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 81-75 against the Run Line (+4.5 Units / 2.27% ROI).

• 87-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.5 Units / 4.81% ROI
• 78-71 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.15% ROI
• 71-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.6 Units / -8.1% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 72-84 against the Run Line (-16.35 Units / -8.6% ROI).

• 85-71 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.4 Units / -8.81% ROI
• 58-92 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.1 Units / -24.73% ROI
• 92-58 when betting on the total runs Under for +28 Units / 16.17% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (309/741) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .191 (47-for-246) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 90th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .269 (66-for-245) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 13th Percentile.

Luis Severino has allowed an OBP of .327 (266 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 12th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting just .062 (1-for-16) against Spencer Schwellenbach when going through the lineup the first time in a game in his last two starts — 5th best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .204 — 94th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (22/73) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (4 games) — 3rd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has struck out just 17% (8/47) of left-handed batters he faced this month (4 games) — tied for 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 17th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Spencer Schwellenbach in his last two starts — 3rd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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