The New York Mets (+155) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Tuesday, April 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Mets are 4-6 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 4-5 ATS.

Mets vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: Adrian Houser 0-0, 1.80 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 0-0, 1.50 ERA

Mets vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Guillorme has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 43% ROI)
• Luis Guillorme has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 46% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+8.75 Units / 66% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.30 Units / 57% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.25 Units / 70% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.90 Units / 51% ROI)
• Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.45 Units / 92% ROI)
• Jarred Kelenic has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+6.35 Units / 106% ROI)
• Sam Hilliard has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 81% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 3-7 against the Run Line (-4.35 Units / -37.83% ROI).

• 4-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.55 Units / -21.34% ROI
• 4-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.55 Units / -23.39% ROI
• 6-4 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.55 Units / 13.96% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 4-5 against the Run Line (-1.25 Units / -11.42% ROI).

• 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.55 Units / 2.93% ROI
• 6-2 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 38.78% ROI
• 2-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -46.5% ROI

Braves vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 73% of the time (738/1,007) against right-handed batters since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Adrian Houser has thrown fastballs 74% of the time (412/560) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 63% (39/62) against Adrian Houser when going through the lineup the third time in a game in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (10/77) versus Adrian Houser with runners in scoring position in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 25 of 139 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — first Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 10% — second Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez has walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) since last season — 4th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.

Reynaldo Lopez walked 23 of 124 left-handed batters (18%) in the 2023 season — 5th highest among in MLB; League Avg: 11% — fifth Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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