The New York Mets (-130) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (+110) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Mets are 79-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 72-73 ATS.

Mets vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

• Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 9-1, 2.76 ERA
• Blue Jays starting pitcher: Chris Bassitt 9-13, 4.32 ERA

Mets vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+18.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• Jesse Winker has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+13.10 Units / 187% ROI)
• David Peterson has hit the Earned Runs Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.70 Units / 54% ROI)
• Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+11.45 Units / 21% ROI)
• DJ Stewart has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 37% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 15 of his last 48 games (+33.15 Units / 69% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.85 Units / 23% ROI)
• Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games at home (+13.70 Units / 37% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+13.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 50 games (+13.10 Units / 26% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 55 of their last 85 games (+18.25 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 52 of their last 96 games (+16.75 Units / 13% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 86 games (+12.65 Units / 12% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 52 of their last 88 games (+11.45 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 32 away games (+10.30 Units / 28% ROI)

Blue Jays Best Bets Today:

• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 47 games at home (+16.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 42 games (+9.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 games at home (+2.10 Units / 8% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 73-71 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -0.49% ROI).

• 79-65 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.3 Units / 2.92% ROI
• 70-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -3.23% ROI
• 68-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -8 Units / -5.17% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 72-73 against the Run Line (-13.5 Units / -6.9% ROI).

• 68-77 when betting on the Moneyline for -16 Units / -9.04% ROI
• 75-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 1.52% ROI
• 66-75 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -10.64% ROI

Blue Jays vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today

Blue Jays vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 54% (95/176) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 35% — first Percentile.

David Peterson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.1 MPH on the 160 breaking pitches put in play against him since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 87.6.

David Peterson has walked 112 of 1,022 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

David Peterson has walked 36 of 313 right-handed batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Chris Bassitt has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (172 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 80.7

Opponents have a miss rate of just 15% (30/198) against Chris Bassitt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .359 (251 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — fifth Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.8 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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