Mets vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23
Mets vs Athletics Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 23

The New York Mets (-225) visit Oakland Coliseum to take on the Oakland Athletics (+185) on Friday, September 23, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Oakland.

The Mets are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).

The Mets vs Athletics Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Mets are 95-55 against the spread (ATS), while the Athletics are 72-77 ATS.

Mets vs. Athletics Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Athletics Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Friday‘s matchup with 62.5% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mets and Athletics and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 47 of his last 73 away games (+21.00 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 53 of his last 69 games (+19.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 39 of his last 61 games (+16.35 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 52 games (+14.30 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Francisco Lindor has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 53 away games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)

Best Athletics Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Athletics players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Vimael Machin has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Tony Kemp has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 36 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Nick Allen has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 42 games (+10.65 Units / 19% ROI)

  • The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 151 games (+11.17 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 39 of their last 71 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.10 Units / 66% ROI)

  • The Oakland Athletics have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 23 games (+11.70 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.50 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.60 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+4.10 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Oakland Athletics have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+4.05 Units / 81% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 82-68 against the Run Line (+13.65 Units / 7.29% ROI).

  • 95-55 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.7 Units / 3.81% ROI
  • 77-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.25 Units / 2.56% ROI
  • 66-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.6 Units / -11.28% ROI

Athletics Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Mets have gone 72-77 against the Run Line (-19.5 Units / -10.24% ROI).

  • 54-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -18 Units / -11.56% ROI
  • 68-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -14.95 Units / -9.03% ROI
  • 75-68 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.7 Units / 0.43% ROI

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (85/480) against Chris Bassitt this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (68/379) against Chris Bassitt on pitches in the strike zone this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Chris Bassitt has averaged 71.6 MPH on curveballs since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: 79.2 — sixth Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 17% (35/202) against Chris Bassitt this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 74 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.

Cole Irvin: Athletics Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (43/246) against Cole Irvin on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.

Cole Irvin has a strikeout rate of just 17% (114 SO in 670 PAs) this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Cole Irvin has located his pitches away 58% of the time (260/451) when behind in the count this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 97th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 12% (3/24) against Cole Irvin — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Athletics

  
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