The New York Mets (+100) visit CACTI Park of the Palm Beaches to take on the Houston Astros (-120) on Wednesday, March 6, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in West Palm Beach, FL.

This season, the Mets are 4-4 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 5-4 ATS.

Mets vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Mets vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 53.3% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:

• Starling Marte has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
• Tim Locastro has hit the Runs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+1.05 Units / 52% ROI)
• Daniel Vogelbach has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 away games (+0.95 Units / 47% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Kyle Tucker has hit the RBIs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Cesar Salazar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 4 games (+4.55 Units / 96% ROI)
• Cesar Salazar has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 38% ROI)
• Jeremy Pena has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 152 games (+17.70 Units / 11% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 51 games (+15.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 26 away games (+6.98 Units / 23% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 45 games (+2.10 Units / 4% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 51 of their last 87 games at home (+8.68 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 53 games at home (+7.75 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.21 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 100 games (+4.60 Units / 4% ROI)

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Mets are 5-3 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 22.29% ROI).

• 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.66 Units / -6.13% ROI
• 0-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.62 Units / -75.06% ROI
• 6-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +6 Units / 68.18% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Astros are 5-4 against the Run Line (+0.53 Units / 4.42% ROI).

• 6-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 12.19% ROI
• 3-6 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -39.82% ROI
• 6-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.54 Units / 26.32% ROI

Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jose Quintana has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.2 MPH against his fastballs since last season (389 balls in play) — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 129 total IP; League Avg: 90.6

Jose Quintana induced opposing hitters to ground into 9 double plays in 54 opportunities (17%) in the 2023 season — tied for 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents had a line drive rate of 35% (17/48) versus Jose Quintana on low breaking pitches in the 2023 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — first Percentile.

Jose Quintana had a strike rate of just 62% (627/1,016) against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — tied for 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 11th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,210/2,952) in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez located 47% of his pitches inside (361/767) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — highest among in AL; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Framber Valdez located 41% of his pitches inside (1,210/2,952) in the 2023 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.

Framber Valdez had third base stolen on him 8 times in the 2023 season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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