The Memphis Tigers (5-2) visit DATCU Stadium to take on the North Texas Mean Green (3-4) on Oct. 28 in Denton.
Memphis is a betting favorite in Week 9, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-105).
The Memphis vs. North Texas Over/Under is 69.5 total points.
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Memphis vs North Texas Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Memphis will win this game with 73.6% confidence.
Memphis vs North Texas Spread Prediction for Week 9
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 80.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and North Texas, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+4.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- Memphis have covered the Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.00 Units / 6% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+0.90 Units / 17% ROI)
North Texas Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- North Texas has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+6.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- North Texas have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.50 Units / 17% ROI)
- North Texas has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games at home (+2.05 Units / 48% ROI)
Best Memphis Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Memphis players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Best North Texas Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for North Texas players for Week 9, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Roderic Burns has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Ikaika Ragsdale has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 2-4 against the spread this college football season (-2.4 Units / -31.17% ROI).
- Memphis is 4-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 7.91% ROI
- Memphis is 5-2 when betting the Over for +2.8 Units / 36.36% ROI
- Memphis is 2-5 when betting the Under for -3.5 Units / -45.45% ROI
North Texas Against the Spread (ATS) Record
North Texas is 4-3 against the spread this college football season (+0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- North Texas is 2-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.8 Units / -41.03% ROI
- North Texas is 4-3 when betting the Over for +0.7 Units / 9.09% ROI
- North Texas is 3-4 when betting the Under for -1.4 Units / -18.18% ROI
Memphis is undefeated (4-0) when rushing more than 30 times this season– tied for 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .406
Memphis is undefeated (7-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2022 season– tied for best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .637
Memphis is undefeated (4-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– tied for 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .428
Memphis is 5-1 (.833) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .500
North Texas is 4-14 (.200) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2021 season– tied for 29th-worst in FBS; Average: .337
North Texas is 6-17 (.240) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 28th-worst in FBS; Average: .403
North Texas was 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities in the 2022 season– 14th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .553
North Texas is 6-18 (.250) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 29th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
North Texas’s WRs have 267.1 receiving yards per game this season — eighth-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed just 147.7 receiving yards per game to WRs this season — 34th-best among FBS defenses.