The Memphis Tigers (4-7) visit Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium to take on the Iowa State Cyclones (7-5) on Dec. 29 in Memphis, TN.
Iowa St. is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -8.5 (-110).
The Memphis vs. Iowa State Over/Under is 57.5 total points.
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Memphis vs Iowa State Prediction, Liberty Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Iowa State will win this bowl game with 64.7% confidence.
Memphis vs Iowa State Spread Prediction, Liberty Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Memphis will cover the spread with 52.6% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Memphis and Iowa St., plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Memphis Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Memphis has hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 12 games (+6.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.50 Units / 30% ROI)
- Memphis has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.80 Units / 20% ROI)
Iowa State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Iowa State has hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 3 games (+4.20 Units / 98% ROI)
- Iowa State has hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 59% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 games (+3.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Iowa State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.20 Units / 52% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Memphis players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Memphis Player Prop Bets Today
- Roc Taylor has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Demeer Blankumsee has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Blake Watson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 80% ROI)
- Seth Henigan has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Iowa State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Iowa State Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Rocco Becht has hit the TD Passes Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+3.55 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jaylin Noel has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
- Jayden Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Rocco Becht has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Cartevious Norton has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Memphis Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Memphis is 4-7 against the spread this college football season (-3.7 Units / -28.03% ROI).
- Memphis is 8-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 11.82% ROI
- Memphis is 10-2 when betting the Over for +7.8 Units / 59.09% ROI
- Memphis is 2-10 when betting the Under for -9 Units / -68.18% ROI
Iowa State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Iowa St. is 7-5 against the spread this college football season (+1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI).
- Iowa State is 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 27.22% ROI
- Iowa State is 5-7 when betting the Over for -2.7 Units / -20.45% ROI
- Iowa State is 7-5 when betting the Under for +1.5 Units / 11.36% ROI
Memphis is undefeated (7-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season– 3rd-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .482
Memphis is 12-1 (.923) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season– 4th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .635
Memphis is 11-2 (.611) when rushing for more than 100 yards since the 2022 season– 12th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .472
Memphis is 13-8 (.591) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– 13th-best among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .419
Iowa State is winless (0-10) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .334
Iowa State was winless (0-8) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .414
Iowa State was winless (0-4) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Iowa State is 5-1 (.833) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game this season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .458
Iowa State’s WRs has averaged 14.1 yards after the catch this season — tied for 34th-best among FBS WRs. Memphis’s defense has allowed 12.7 RAC this season — tied for 23rd-worst among FBS defenses.
Jayden Higgins (ISU) has gained 769 yards on 44 receptions (17.5 YPR) this season — tied for sixth-best of Qualified Big 12 Skill Players. Memphis’s defense has allowed 12.7 Yards Per Reception this season — tied for 28th-worst among FBS defenses.