The Oklahoma City Thunder return home looking to take a 3-2 series lead against the Dallas Mavericks, and we're offering our top Mavericks vs. Thunder player props based on the best NBA odds.
A spirited second-half comeback propelled the Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) to a 100-96 victory over the Dallas Mavericks (50-32) in Game 4, tying the series at 2-2. As they head into Wednesday's Game 5, the Thunder are favored by 4 points according to our best sports betting sites. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET at the Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander's stellar performance has reinvigorated Oklahoma City's prospects in the NBA championship odds race, while Luka Doncic's recent struggles, compounded by injury, have led to a decline in his NBA Finals MVP odds.
The upcoming game presents an intriguing matchup between these NBA MVP finalists, with both teams vying to gain the upper hand in the series.
Here are our best Mavericks vs. Thunder player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 player props
- Luka Doncic Under 29.5 points (-120 via FanDuel) ???
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 46.5 points + rebounds + assists (-108 via DraftKings) ???
- Jalen Williams Over 10.5 rebounds + assists (+100 via FanDuel) ????
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Mavericks vs. Thunder prop bet predictions for Wednesday
At times, Doncic has looked like the second coming of Larry Bird, and at others, he looks like your drunk uncle who's got one bad knee but swears he was All-State in high school. It's pretty clear that Doncic's knee is continuing to bother him and slowing his scoring output.
Despite coming off a triple-double in Game 4, Doncic scored just 18 while going 2-for-9 from three. The knee is hurting his ability to elevate and in turn has him shooting abysmally from deep. Since the injury in the first round against the Los Angeles Clippers, Doncic is averaging 25.3 points and shooting 22.8% from behind the arc.
Doncic has scored fewer than 30 points in seven of his last eight games. The -120 odds imply a 54.55% probability the Under hits, according to our odds calculator, with a $10 bet paying out $18.33 in total.
Best odds: -120 via FanDuel
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The two most prominent Kentucky fans from Canada are on entirely different trajectories right now. While Drake is getting it handed to him by an MC from California, Gilgeous-Alexander is taking it to a PG from Slovenia. (Won't be long until Drake's making a hog call with John Calipari at Arkansas, but what can he rhyme with woo pig sooie?)
After a slow first round by his standards, Gilgeous-Alexander has come alive against the Mavericks. He's averaging 31.8 points, 9.8 rebounds, and 7.0 assists in this series – for a combined total of 48.6 – and has cleared this prop total in all four games.
The Mavericks defense has been up and down all year, and with Doncic banged up, it's opened the door for SGA to take over the series. A $10 bet on these odds would return a $9.26 profit on a winning ticket with a 51.92% win probability.
Best odds: -108 via DraftKings
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What a thrill it is to hear Ian Eagle say, “Jalen Williams passes to the other Jaylin Williams,” a true treat that the Thunder have two second-year players with the same name. Even if it leads to some confusion, Mark Daigneault can't be complaining with the way they've both impacted the series – especially Jalen Williams.
While he's been sporadic as a shooter against the Mavericks, Williams has made up for it with his energetic rebounding and playmaking instincts. He's coming off a nine-rebound, six-assist game and is averaging a combined 11.8 in the series.
I love the +100 odds because they're an outlier price. This same prop is -120 at our other best sports betting apps. Those odds imply a 54.64% probability the prop hits, but our odds pay $20 in total on a $10 bet.
Best odds: +100 via FanDuel
Mavericks vs. Thunder Game 5 info & odds
- When: Wednesday, May 15
- Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Paycom Center (Oklahoma City)
- How to watch: TNT
- Favorite: Thunder -4 (-110 via bet365)
Mavericks-Thunder player props made Tuesday at 1:30 p.m. ET.
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