Our Mavericks vs. Nuggets player props based on the best NBA odds from our best sports betting sites prepare you for Monday's showdown featuring a pair of Western Conference contenders.
In what could be a preview of a Western Conference postseason series, the Denver Nuggets welcome the Dallas Mavericks to town on Monday. The Nuggets (17-10) are coming off a rare home loss when they dropped a 118-117 decision to the Oklahoma City Thunder to end a three-game win streak.
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Timberwolves recently stifled the Mavericks (16-9) before Dallas bounced back with a win over the Portland Trail Blazers. This could be the Mavericks' opportunity to make a statement against a true contender.
Here are our best Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our
best NBA betting sites; Pick confidence is based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Mavericks vs. Nuggets NBA player props
Even if we assume NumberFire's projection of 6.1 assists is way off, Dante Exum's assist prop is trading too low as of Monday morning. Our best sports betting apps haven't been paying close enough attention to what Exum has been doing lately.
The guard has earned a larger role for the Mavs in December, averaging 30.8 minutes per game after recording just 11.7 minutes per contest in November. He's averaging 17 points, five assists, and 4.3 rebounds with that increased playing time.
The month started with Exum crushing this assist prop while recording six or seven assists in each of the first three games. He's since cleared this mark just once over his last three outings, finishing with three dimes on two different occasions.
We'll take this discounted line on Exum, as long as he's getting the minutes. Exum is averaging 8.3 potential assists over the last three games and 12.7 during December, according to NBA.com. There's a chance he clears this number comfortably.
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If Exum is going to cash our assist prop, there's a pretty good chance he'll collect enough boards to cash this combo prop too. bet365 is posting the best price on the market, with most of our best sports betting sites trading the Over between -130 and -140.
Exum finished with three assists and two rebounds against Portland during his last game, marking just the second time in December that he failed to clear this mark. The other such outing was w hen he was more of a scorer, finishing with 26 points during a win over the Los Angeles Lakers.
Part of Exum's recent resurgence has been his ability to do the dirty work, as Nekias Duncan of The Messenger noted recently. The No. 5 pick in the 2014 draft has taken advantage of lesser defenders (mostly bigs) guarding him since joining the starting lineup. That's led to plenty of rebounding opportunities, as Exum is averaging 4.3 rebounds on 6.8 rebound chances per game in December.
Bet on Exum to exceed expectations in this nationally televised game on NBA TV.
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Mavericks-Nuggets NBA player props made 12/18/2023 at 10:20 a.m. ET.
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