The UMass Minutemen (1-7) visit Pratt and Whitney Stadium at Rentschler Field to take on the UConn Huskies (4-5) on Nov. 4. Kickoff is scheduled for 7:00pm EDT in East Hartford.
Connecticut are betting favorites in Week 10, with the spread sitting at -15.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Massachusetts vs. Connecticut is 40 total points.
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Massachusetts vs Connecticut Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts UConn will win this game with 72.9% confidence.
Massachusetts vs Connecticut Spread Prediction for Week 10
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts UMass will cover the spread with 58.2% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Massachusetts and Connecticut, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Massachusetts Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 16 games (+8.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+6.15 Units / 148% ROI)
- Massachusetts have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Massachusetts has hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Connecticut Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Connecticut has hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 4 games (+13.15 Units / 253% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games (+9.05 Units / 77% ROI)
- Connecticut has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the 1Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.70 Units / 39% ROI)
- Connecticut have covered the Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
Massachusetts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Massachusetts has gone 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.25% ROI).
- Massachusetts is 1-5 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.05 Units / -65.32% ROI
- Massachusetts is 2-6 when betting the Over for -4.6 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Massachusetts is 6-2 when betting the Under for +3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI
Connecticut Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Connecticut has gone 6-2 against the spread this college football season (+3.8 Units / 43.18% ROI).
- Connecticut is 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 195.97% ROI
- Connecticut is 2-5 when betting the Over for -3.5 Units / -39.77% ROI
- Connecticut is 5-2 when betting the Under for +2.8 Units / 31.82% ROI
UMass is winless (0-1) when in a one score game since the 2020 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .493
UMass is winless (0-15) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .422
UMass is winless (0-6) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442
UMass is winless (0-11) when allowing 200 or more passing yards — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .447
UConn is 1-13 (.071) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times — tied for 4th-worst in FBS; Average: .419
UConn is winless (0-10) when not forcing a fumble — tied for worst in FBS; Average: .442
UConn is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards — tied for 9th-worst in FBS; Average: .450
UConn is 2-13 (.133) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays — tied for 13th-worst in FBS; Average: .400
UConn’s offense has thrown for 20 or more yards on just 5.8% of 138 attempts this season — fifth-worst among FBS offenses. UMass’s defense allowed 20+ yards on 14.6% of attempts this season — fourth-best among NonP5 defenses.