The Maryland Terrapins (6-3) visit Beaver Stadium to take on the Penn State Nittany Lions (7-2) on Nov. 12. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in University Park.
Penn State are betting favorites in Week 11, with the spread sitting at -10.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for Maryland vs. Penn State is 59.5 total points.
Bet now on Penn State vs Maryland & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
Maryland vs Penn State Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Penn State will win this game with 67.1% confidence.
Maryland vs Penn State Spread Prediction for Week 11
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Penn State will cover the spread with 51.8% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Maryland and Penn State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Maryland Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Maryland players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rakim Jarrett has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Roman Hemby has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Dontay Demus Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the Passing Yards Under in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Taulia Tagovailoa has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 66% ROI)
Best Penn State Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Penn State players for Week 11, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Parker Washington has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Keyvone Lee has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Sean Clifford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+2.95 Units / 23% ROI)
- Sean Clifford has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.60 Units / 31% ROI)
- Nicholas Singleton has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 30% ROI)
Maryland Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Maryland has hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.05 Units / 87% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the Team Total Under in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Maryland have covered the 1Q Spread in 5 of their last 6 away games (+3.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Maryland has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+3.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Penn State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Penn State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 14% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games (+8.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 20 games (+6.52 Units / 12% ROI)
- Penn State have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- Penn State has hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Maryland Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Maryland has gone 3-5 against the spread this college football season (-2.5 Units / -28.41% ROI).
- Maryland is 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 1.42% ROI
- Maryland is 4-4 when betting the Over for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Maryland is 4-4 when betting the Under for -0.4 Units / -4.55% ROI
Penn State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Penn State has gone 6-3 against the spread this college football season (+2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI).
- Penn State is 5-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 8.7% ROI
- Penn State is 7-2 when betting the Over for +4.8 Units / 48.48% ROI
- Penn State is 2-7 when betting the Under for -5.7 Units / -57.58% ROI
Maryland is winless (0-6) when making less than 5 explosive passes in a game since the 2020 season– tied for worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .386
Maryland is 11-1 (.846) when scoring 22 or more points — tied for 8th-best in FBS; Average: .625
Maryland is 8-1 (.727) when not throwing an interception — tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .492
Maryland is 1-9 (.077) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2020 season– 4th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .319
#16 Penn State is 10-4 (.588) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns — 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .430
#16 Penn State is 9-3 (.600) when rushing more than 30 times — tied for 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .447
#16 Penn State is 1-6 (.143) when allowing 22 or more points — tied for 14th-worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .301