The Marshall Thundering Herd (3-2) visit Allen E. Paulson Stadium to take on the Georgia Southern Eagles (3-2) on Oct. 12 in Statesboro, GA. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT.
Marshall is a betting favorite in Week 7, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Marshall vs. Georgia Southern Over/Under is 61.5 total points.
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Marshall vs Georgia Southern Prediction:
The winning team model predicts Marshall will win this game with 57.1% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Marshall and Georgia Southern, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
Marshall vs Georgia Southern Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Georgia Southern will cover the spread with 59.3% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Marshall Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Marshall has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 6 away games (+1.80 Units / 27% ROI)
- Marshall have covered the 1Q Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.45 Units / 12% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 18% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 5 of their last 10 games (+0.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- Marshall has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 10 games (+0.15 Units / 1% ROI)
Georgia Southern Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 39% ROI)
- Georgia Southern has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Georgia Southern have covered the Spread in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.80 Units / 15% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Georgia Southern players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Georgia Southern Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Derwin Burgess Jr. has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Marshall Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Marshall is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Marshall is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- Marshall is 1-3 when betting the Over for -2.3 Units / -52.27% ROI
- Marshall is 3-1 when betting the Under for +1.9 Units / 43.18% ROI
Georgia Southern Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Georgia Southern is 4-0 against the spread this college football season (+4 Units / 72.73% ROI).
- Georgia Southern is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.5 Units / 47.62% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 3-1 when betting the Over for +1.95 Units / 35.78% ROI
- Georgia Southern is 1-3 when betting the Under for -2.3 Units / -41.44% ROI
Marshall is undefeated (9-0) when making 3 or more explosive runs in a game since the 2023 season– T-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .609
Marshall is 8-3 (.727) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2023 season– 10th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .570
Marshall is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Marshall is 3-8 (.273) when averaging less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– 34th-worst in FBS; Average: .438
Georgia Southern is 4-8 (.333) when not forcing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-35th-worst in FBS; Average: .485
Georgia Southern is 5-1 (.833) when in a one score game since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .506
Georgia Southern is 6-2 (.750) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-32nd-best in FBS; Average: .632
Georgia Southern is 4-2 (.667) when not losing a fumble since the 2023 season– T-14th-best among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .512
Georgia Southern’s WRs has averaged 30.9 targets per game since the 2023 season — 3rd-highest among FBS WRs. Marshall’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.
Georgia Southern’s WRs has 358 receptions in 18 games (19.9 per game) since the 2023 season — 4th-best among FBS WRs. Marshall’s defense has allowed 13.7 receptions per game to WRs since the 2023 season — T-32nd-worst among FBS defenses.