The Miami Marlins (+130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (-155) on Saturday, July 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.

This season, the Marlins are 32-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 54-41 ATS.

Marlins vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 1-2, 6.76 ERA
• Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 9-6, 3.07 ERA

Marlins vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Reds will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+19.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Elly De La Cruz has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 47 games (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 28 games (+16.60 Units / 59% ROI)
• Jeimer Candelario has hit the Total Bases Over in 25 of his last 41 games (+11.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• Will Benson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.25 Units / 74% ROI)
• Jake Fraley has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.45 Units / 45% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 48 of their last 76 games (+17.25 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 42 away games (+17.05 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.60 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 23 games (+1.90 Units / 7% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 22 games (+0.40 Units / 2% ROI)

Reds Best Bets Today:

• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.25 Units / 32% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 77 games (+12.90 Units / 13% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 79 games (+11.85 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+10.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Cincinnati Reds have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 41-53 against the Run Line (-27.36 Units / -21.91% ROI).

• 32-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -23 Units / -22.95% ROI
• 50-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 4.24% ROI
• 42-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -11.78% ROI

Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Reds are 54-41 against the Run Line (+9.05 Units / 7.25% ROI).

• 46-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.25 Units / -2.85% ROI
• 42-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.75 Units / -12.14% ROI
• 49-42 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.5 Units / 2.4% ROI

Reds vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Reds vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Edward Cabrera has walked 81 of 548 batters (15%) since last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (89/483) against Edward Cabrera since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (132/203) against Edward Cabrera on non-fastballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 114 of 839 batters (14%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Andrew Abbott has walked 22 of 162 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .154 (10-for-65) against Andrew Abbott with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .241 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (44/203) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Andrew Abbott has a strike rate of just 62% (802/1,293) against right-handed batters this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — fifth Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Reds

  
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