The Miami Marlins (+200) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-250) on Monday, September 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Marlins are 54-89 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 78-65 ATS.

Marlins vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Valente Bellozo 2-2, 3.78 ERA
• Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 9-2, 2.13 ERA

Marlins vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 68.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 34 games (+34.00 Units / 100% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.65 Units / 29% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.60 Units / 27% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+14.10 Units / 19% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 23 games (+24.50 Units / 107% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+17.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Yasmani Grandal has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+12.70 Units / 141% ROI)
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.25 Units / 24% ROI)
• Joey Bart has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games at home (+10.50 Units / 117% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 51 games (+18.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 65 of their last 116 games (+15.80 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 65 away games (+14.25 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 22 away games (+10.65 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 48 games (+9.50 Units / 19% ROI)

Pirates Best Bets Today:

• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 60 of their last 104 games (+14.95 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+12.60 Units / 17% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.20 Units / 55% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 67-76 against the Run Line (-29.16 Units / -15.65% ROI).

• 54-89 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.7 Units / -10.51% ROI
• 78-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.55 Units / 8.58% ROI
• 59-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.8 Units / -16.46% ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 78-65 against the Run Line (+9.86 Units / 5.34% ROI).

• 67-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.55 Units / -6.39% ROI
• 70-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -3.12% ROI
• 68-70 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.07 Units / -5.17% ROI

Pirates vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Pirates vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a groundball rate of just 21% (4/19) against Valente Bellozo in his last start — 7th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 40% — seventh Percentile.

Valente Bellozo had a first-pitch strike rate of just 50% (11/22) in his last start — tied for 8th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 63% — 10th Percentile.

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 20% (7/35) against Valente Bellozo in his last start — tied for 6th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 30% — seventh Percentile.

Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 38% (65 SO in 171 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 38% (44 SO in 117 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% (142 SO in 444 PAs) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Paul Skenes has struck out 32% (73/231) of left-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

  
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