The Miami Marlins (+240) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-300) on Sunday, June 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Marlins are 30-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 45-38 ATS.

Marlins vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos 0-0, 2.80 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 10-2, 1.85 ERA

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 69.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 25 away games (+19.15 Units / 44% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 20 games (+13.90 Units / 69% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 away games (+11.30 Units / 68% ROI)
• Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Trea Turner has hit the RBIs Under in 31 of his last 37 games (+19.90 Units / 28% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+13.40 Units / 48% ROI)
• Cristian Pache has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Rafael Marchan has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 6 games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 37 away games (+15.90 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+15.10 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+13.80 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+7.50 Units / 68% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.85 Units / 27% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 68 games (+26.20 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 66 games (+24.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 43 of their last 65 games (+17.40 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 36 games at home (+13.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 41 of their last 66 games (+12.25 Units / 15% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 36-47 against the Run Line (-25.41 Units / -22.73% ROI).

• 30-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.9 Units / -18.01% ROI
• 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -1.48% ROI
• 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.6 Units / -6.13% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 45-38 against the Run Line (+6.35 Units / 6.37% ROI).

• 54-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +10 Units / 7.18% ROI
• 35-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.65 Units / -13.8% ROI
• 43-35 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.35 Units / 4.79% ROI

Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 60% (33/55) against Yonny Chirinos on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents had a Hard-Hit Rate of 48% (69/145) against Yonny Chirinos vs left-handed batters in the 2023 season — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 40% — 11th Percentile.

Yonny Chirinos has a strike rate of 69% (114/165) this month (2 games) — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 94th Percentile.

Yonny Chirinos has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 91.3 MPH in the 2023 season (281 balls in play) — 8th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 89.2

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .140 (26 Total Bases / 186 ABs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 55% (142/258) against Ranger Suarez this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 94th Percentile.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 82% (18/22) against Ranger Suarez — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .108 (20-for-186) against Ranger Suarez with two-strikes this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .161 — 97th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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