The Miami Marlins (+195) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Tuesday, August 9, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 49-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 57-51 ATS.
Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alec Bohm | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryson Stott | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Edmundo Sosa | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| J.T. Realmuto | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jean Segura | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 6.5 -145 | 6.5 +100 |
| Braxton Garrett | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Phillies: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 48-60 against the Run Line (-21 Units / -14.58% ROI).
- 49-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.2 Units / -11.58% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.3 Units / -7.75% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.5 Units / -0.42% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 57-51 against the Run Line (+6.1 Units / 4.64% ROI).
- 60-48 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.1 Units / 2.76% ROI
- 55-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.45 Units / 2.9% ROI
- 47-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -11.12% ROI
Braxton Garrett: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of 47% (87/186) against Braxton Garrett on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (398/948) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 37% (178/485) against Braxton Garrett this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Braxton Garrett has allowed a slugging percentage of .385 (35 Total Bases / 91 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 54 total IP; League Avg: .305 — ninth Percentile.
Zachary Wheeler: Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (1,529/3,463) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.4 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (413 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 85.4
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (383/882) when behind in the count since the start of last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 96th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 84.9 MPH against his fastballs since the start of last season (548 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 134 total IP; League Avg: 90.4