The Miami Marlins (+150) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-185) on Wednesday, August 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.

This season, the Marlins are 45-75 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 59-60 ATS.

Marlins vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 2-3, 5.24 ERA
• Phillies starting pitcher: Tyler Phillips 4-1, 4.84 ERA

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 16 of his last 38 games (+44.90 Units / 118% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 30 of his last 38 games (+21.25 Units / 31% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+21.15 Units / 50% ROI)
• Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 28 of his last 34 games (+19.50 Units / 40% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+18.70 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games at home (+14.40 Units / 131% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 33% ROI)
• Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+11.50 Units / 19% ROI)
• Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Kyle Schwarber has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 48 games (+10.70 Units / 22% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 23 of their last 28 games (+17.75 Units / 51% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 54 away games (+14.25 Units / 22% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 93 games (+13.95 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 55% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games (+10.10 Units / 36% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 34 of their last 49 games at home (+15.50 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games at home (+14.90 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 102 games (+9.40 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games at home (+9.10 Units / 27% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 27 games (+9.05 Units / 28% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 57-63 against the Run Line (-23.91 Units / -15.25% ROI).

• 45-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.15 Units / -12% ROI
• 66-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.7 Units / 8.82% ROI
• 50-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.45 Units / -16.32% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 59-60 against the Run Line (-3.25 Units / -2.25% ROI).

• 69-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -2.29% ROI
• 55-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -7.98% ROI
• 59-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -1.38% ROI

Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Edward Cabrera has walked 97 of 676 batters (14%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 44 of 258 batters (17%) versus the top of the order since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 130 of 967 batters (13%) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 176 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 68 of 442 batters (15%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Tyler Phillips has allowed an OPS of 1.489 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .739 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Tyler Phillips when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .245 — third Percentile.

Tyler Phillips has a strikeout rate of just 11% (4 SO in 36 PAs) this month (2 games) — tied for 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 10th Percentile.

Tyler Phillips has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .310 — second Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies

  
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