The Miami Marlins (+155) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-190) on Wednesday, April 12, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.

The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+105).

The Marlins vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Marlins are 5-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 4-7 ATS.

Marlins vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+9.10 Units / 65% ROI)
• Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 50% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+8.50 Units / 77% ROI)
• Jon Berti has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 68% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.45 Units / 51% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Bryson Stott has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 113% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 8 games (+8.85 Units / 85% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 62% ROI)
• Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+7.50 Units / 125% ROI)
• Bryson Stott has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+6.70 Units / 67% ROI)

Phillies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Phillies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 61% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.45 Units / 34% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 94% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.15 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+1.00 Units / 23% ROI)

Phillies Best Bets Today:

• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.45 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 90% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.95 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 games (+0.90 Units / 21% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 4-8 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -40.88% ROI).

• 5-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -15.21% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.21% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.75 Units / -13.11% ROI

Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 4-7 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -32.88% ROI).

• 4-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -30.53% ROI
• 6-5 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.55 Units / 4.47% ROI
• 5-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.35 Units / -11.34% ROI

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Edward Cabrera has a strike rate of just 51% (87/170) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 13 of 35 batters (37%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 27% (31/116) against Edward Cabrera in non-two strike counts this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 0 Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 46 of 326 batters (14%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 73.4 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season (193 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 80.4

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.2 MPH against his fastballs since the 2021 season (615 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 90.4

Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 79.4 MPH on inside pitches since the 2020 season (576 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

  
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