The Miami Marlins (+150) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-185) on Monday, May 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in San Diego, CA.

This season, the Marlins are 19-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 29-27 ATS.

Marlins vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 1-6, 6.07 ERA
• Padres starting pitcher: Michael King 4-4, 4.31 ERA

Marlins vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+16.10 Units / 36% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 31 games (+14.65 Units / 28% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 19 away games (+14.50 Units / 76% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games (+13.35 Units / 48% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.65 Units / 35% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Jake Cronenworth has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 40 games (+20.80 Units / 52% ROI)
• Jurickson Profar has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+16.35 Units / 18% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 24 games at home (+14.90 Units / 33% ROI)
• Fernando Tatis Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+14.85 Units / 52% ROI)
• Manny Machado has hit the Runs Under in 25 of his last 32 games (+14.30 Units / 29% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 games (+8.20 Units / 44% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+7.85 Units / 60% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+7.20 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 away games (+5.30 Units / 66% ROI)

Padres Best Bets Today:

• The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+12.80 Units / 39% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games at home (+7.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.60 Units / 21% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+2.55 Units / 24% ROI)
• The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 22-32 against the Run Line (-17.31 Units / -24.29% ROI).

• 19-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.35 Units / -24.3% ROI
• 30-24 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.95 Units / 6.67% ROI
• 24-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.85 Units / -14.85% ROI

Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Padres are 29-27 against the Run Line (+3.5 Units / 5.05% ROI).

• 28-28 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.65 Units / -7.96% ROI
• 29-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.65 Units / 1.06% ROI
• 26-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.2 Units / -9.96% ROI

Padres vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Padres vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .469 (81 PA’s) this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .301 — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .524 (42 PA’s) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .328 — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OPS of 1.000 (144 PA’s) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 20 total IP; League Avg: .675 — 0 Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has allowed an OBP of .447 (47 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 0 Percentile.

Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Michael King has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.000 (31 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on inside fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .401 — first Percentile.

Michael King has walked 13 of 133 right-handed batters (10%) this season — 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — ninth Percentile.

Michael King has walked 28 of 263 batters (11%) this season — tied for 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Michael King has walked 28 of 263 batters (11%) this season — tied for 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Padres

  
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