The Miami Marlins (+145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-175) on Thursday, September 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Marlins are 54-92 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 81-64 ATS.
Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Darren McCaughan 0-0, 7.40 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 7-9, 4.46 ERA
Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+31.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+17.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Hits Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+15.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Singles Over in 36 of his last 49 games (+15.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Xavier Edwards has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+14.25 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jacob Young has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 12 games at home (+17.00 Units / 142% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 games (+12.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+11.85 Units / 60% ROI)
- Mitchell Parker has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 11 of his last 13 games at home (+9.30 Units / 61% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 43 of their last 68 away games (+15.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 119 games (+14.50 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 35 of their last 54 games (+14.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 25 away games (+7.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 51 games (+6.50 Units / 13% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 78 of their last 137 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 63 of their last 137 games (+6.60 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 62 games at home (+6.05 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 71 games (+5.30 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 games (+5.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 68-78 against the Run Line (-31.11 Units / -16.34% ROI).
- 54-92 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.7 Units / -12.27% ROI
- 79-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.25 Units / 7.59% ROI
- 61-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.85 Units / -15.55% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 81-64 against the Run Line (+5.93 Units / 3.09% ROI).
- 65-80 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.35 Units / 2.18% ROI
- 69-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -3.95% ROI
- 69-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.82 Units / -4.86% ROI
Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Andres Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Tena (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Andres Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
Andres Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 5.5 +120 | 5.5 -155 |
Darren McCaughan (CLE) | 3.5 +120 | 3.5 -155 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Darren McCaughan has allowed an OBP of .556 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .302 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 20% (8/40) against Darren McCaughan on the first pitch of at-bats this month (2 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 33% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .467 (7-for-15) against Darren McCaughan when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .234 — third Percentile.
Darren McCaughan has allowed an OPS of 1.289 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at lea st 3 total IP; League Avg: .696 — ninth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 28% (118/418) against Mitchell Parker since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (41/287) against Mitchell Parker on elevated fastballs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 25% (7/28) against Mitchell Parker this month (2 games) — tied for 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — fifth Percentile.
Mitchell Parker has 36 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 7th most among pitchers in MLB — 99th Percentile.