The Miami Marlins (+100) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-120) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Marlins are 23-47 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 43-27 ATS.
Marlins vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 3-5, 5.17 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Mitchell Parker 4-3, 3.25 ERA
Marlins vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 47 games (+19.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 50 games (+11.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 away games (+11.60 Units / 86% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.65 Units / 39% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+8.90 Units / 16% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 30 games (+13.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 18 of his last 34 games (+12.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+9.80 Units / 33% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+13.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 30 away games (+8.90 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 away games (+4.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 40 of their last 62 games (+16.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 62 games (+15.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 62 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 28-42 against the Run Line (-27.31 Units / -28.52% ROI).
- 23-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -28.42% ROI
- 37-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.35 Units / 3.06% ROI
- 32-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -8.3 Units / -10.77% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 43-27 against the Run Line (+12.88 Units / 14.1% ROI).
- 34-36 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.15 Units / 16.85% ROI
- 31-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.15 Units / -9.34% ROI
- 35-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.73 Units / 0.94% ROI
Nationals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Nationals vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Nationals vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Joey Meneses (WAS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jesus Luzardo (MIA) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +110 |
| Mitchell Parker (WAS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .196 (68-for-347) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 96th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has walked 33 of 378 batters (9%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 10th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OBP of .318 (377 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .293 — 16th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has a strikeout rate of 32% (121 SO in 378 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 86th Percentile.