The Miami Marlins (+195) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-250) on Friday, August 19, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles.
The Dodgers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Marlins vs Dodgers Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 52-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 73-43 ATS.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s matchup with 59.1% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Dodgers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joey Wendle has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 games (+12.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Sandy Alcantara has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.85 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jacob Stallings has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+13.45 Units / 58% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 45 games at home (+13.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 54 games (+11.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Julio Urias has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.75 Units / 40% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 13 games at home (+10.35 Units / 52% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 46 games (+13.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 27 of their last 42 games (+10.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+4.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.20 Units / 18% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Dodgers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 32 games at home (+16.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 69 of their last 113 games (+12.68 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 23 games at home (+12.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 33 games (+10.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 games (+6.75 Units / 18% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 53-65 against the Run Line (-22.8 Units / -14.37% ROI).
- 52-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -12.92% ROI
- 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -12.21% ROI
- 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.4 Units / 4.17% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 73-43 against the Run Line (+27.1 Units / 19.46% ROI).
- 81-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.05 Units / 3.88% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.2 Units / -15.05% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.75 Units / 6.06% ROI
Jesus Luzardo: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 9% (3/32) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .854 (35 Total Bases / 41 ABs) in late innings since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: .400 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 19% (9/47) against Jesus Luzardo with two-strikes this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has a strike rate of just 62% (1,224/1,987) against right-handed batters since the start of last season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Tyler Anderson: Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 61% of Tyler Anderson’s breaking pitches (692/1,139) since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 138 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has a strikeout rate of just 37% (101 SO in 275 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 12th Percentile.
Tyler Anderson has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.0 MPH this season (343 balls in play) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 88.6
Tyler Anderson has allowed a slugging percentage of just .149 (24 Total Bases / 161 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.