The Miami Marlins (+150) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-185) on Saturday, May 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Marlins are 18-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 23-28 ATS.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-2, 6.42 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 2-2, 5.03 ERA

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 17 away games (+16.50 Units / 97% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 28 games (+16.25 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 23 games (+14.70 Units / 64% ROI)
• Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.65 Units / 25% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.15 Units / 48% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 26 games (+16.85 Units / 36% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 24 of his last 32 games (+16.75 Units / 47% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+15.40 Units / 27% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 23 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+11.80 Units / 74% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+7.75 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 away games (+7.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.20 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 away games (+5.35 Units / 98% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games (+9.50 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 games at home (+7.35 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 40 games (+4.60 Units / 11% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.85 Units / 19% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 51 games (+3.70 Units / 6% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 20-32 against the Run Line (-19.31 Units / -28.29% ROI).

• 18-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.45 Units / -25.33% ROI
• 30-22 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 10.6% ROI
• 22-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.85 Units / -18.94% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-28 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -11.74% ROI).

• 24-27 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.15 Units / -8.14% ROI
• 23-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.9 Units / -10.4% ROI
• 26-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.05 Units / 1.89% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Sixto Sanchez has allowed an OBP of .449 (78 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .298 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 8% (7/86) against Sixto Sanchez with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .348 (23-for-66) against Sixto Sanchez when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: .232 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (29/233) against Sixto Sanchez this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 19 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .474 (9-for-19) against Jordan Montgomery with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .225 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (72/205) against Jordan Montgomery on elevated fastballs since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 148 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has walked 5 of 35 batters (14%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.

Jordan Montgomery has allowed an OPS of 1.002 (39 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .522 — first Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
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