The Miami Marlins (+165) visit Chase Field to take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (-200) on Friday, May 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Phoenix, AZ.

This season, the Marlins are 17-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Diamondbacks are 23-27 ATS.

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Braxton Garrett 0-0, 10.25 ERA
• Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 5-3, 3.02 ERA

Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Diamondbacks Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Friday‘s MLB game with 60.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Diamondbacks and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 23 of his last 27 games (+18.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 away games (+17.50 Units / 109% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+15.70 Units / 71% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.40 Units / 56% ROI)
• Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+12.95 Units / 21% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 25 games (+15.85 Units / 35% ROI)
• Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+15.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+14.40 Units / 26% ROI)
• Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+12.80 Units / 85% ROI)
• Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 22 games (+11.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.40 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.15 Units / 62% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.00 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 33 games (+5.50 Units / 14% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.20 Units / 37% ROI)

Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:

• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.50 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games at home (+6.35 Units / 40% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 31% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 50 games (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
• The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.70 Units / 39% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 19-32 against the Run Line (-20.31 Units / -30.33% ROI).

• 17-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.05 Units / -28.64% ROI
• 30-21 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.15 Units / 12.77% ROI
• 21-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.85 Units / -21.09% ROI

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 23-27 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -10.37% ROI).

• 24-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.3 Units / -5.37% ROI
• 23-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.8 Units / -8.63% ROI
• 25-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.05 Units / 0.09% ROI

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (379/790) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (250/525) with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 100th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has walked 6 of 262 batters (2%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.

Braxton Garrett has walked 5 of 150 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position since last season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 83 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 97th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Zac Gallen has a first-pitch strike rate of just 52% (106/206) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 41% (27/65) against Zac Gallen this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of 35% (28 SO in 81 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .100 (3-for-30) against Zac Gallen on low fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .262 — 100th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

  
Read Full Article