The Miami Marlins (+120) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-145) on Sunday, August 7, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago.
The Cubs are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).
The Marlins vs Cubs Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Marlins are 48-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 54-52 ATS.
Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Sunday‘s matchup with 74.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Cubs and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Cubs vs Marlins and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Cubs vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +125 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -115 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
Cubs vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Frank Schwindel | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ian Happ | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nelson Velazquez | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nick Madrigal | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Nico Hoerner | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Marlins Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Cubs: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 47-60 against the Run Line (-22 Units / -15.45% ROI).
- 48-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.4 Units / -12.59% ROI
- 50-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -6.9% ROI
- 53-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.5 Units / -1.28% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 54-52 against the Run Line (-6.7 Units / -4.86% ROI).
- 43-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -13.38% ROI
- 45-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.4 Units / -13.17% ROI
- 55-45 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.8 Units / 4.97% ROI
Jesús Luzardo: Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have chased just 43 of Jesus Luzardo’s 298 fastballs in off the plate (14%) since the start of 2020 — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .279 (24-for-86) against Jesus Luzardo on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of 2020 — 14th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 89th Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .571 (213 Total Bases / 373 ABs) on fastballs since the start of 2020 — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .437 — second Percentile.
Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .592 (298 Total Bases / 503 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone since the start of 2020 — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 163 total IP; League Avg: .479 — first Percenti le.
Adrian Sampson: Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adrian Sampson has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to July 17th — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 10.
Adrian Sampson has not allowed a home run in any of the last 18.1 innings he’s appeared — Max Fried has the longest active streak at 66.0.