The Miami Marlins (+140) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-165) on Saturday, April 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Marlins are 4-16 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 14-5 ATS.

Marlins vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Jesus Luzardo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
• Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 0-0, 0.00 ERA

Marlins vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 56.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.35 Units / 51% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
• Jesus Luzardo has hit the Earned Runs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+6.00 Units / 31% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+5.75 Units / 29% ROI)
• Yuli Gurriel has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+5.55 Units / 26% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Michael Busch has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.85 Units / 45% ROI)
• Kyle Hendricks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 32% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.40 Units / 35% ROI)
• Michael Busch has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+5.60 Units / 39% ROI)
• Jordan Wicks has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 5 games (+5.40 Units / 84% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)

Cubs Best Bets Today:

• The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 38 of their last 66 games (+9.21 Units / 12% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.75 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 34 games at home (+7.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 36 of their last 68 games at home (+7.75 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Over in 35 of their last 61 games at home (+6.79 Units / 10% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 6-14 against the Run Line (-12.5 Units / -47.08% ROI).

• 4-16 when betting on the Moneyline for -12 Units / -54.42% ROI
• 12-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 15.33% ROI
• 8-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.2 Units / -23.48% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 14-5 against the Run Line (+7.15 Units / 25.4% ROI).

• 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 27.78% ROI
• 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.71% ROI
• 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -8.65% ROI

Cubs vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Cubs vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .968 (30 Total Bases / 31 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .371 — first Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed an OPS of 1.453 (36 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .660 — first Percentile.

Jesus Luzardo has allowed a slugging percentage of .723 (34 Total Bases / 47 ABs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: .375 — second Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .194 (56-for-288) against Jesus Luzardo when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .232 — 94th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (9/41) against Shota Imanaga this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed an OBP of just .186 (59 PA’s) this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 99th Percentile.

Shota Imanaga has allowed a slugging percentage of just .175 (10 Total Bases / 57 ABs) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .395 — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (4/42) against Shota Imanaga over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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