The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-150) on Saturday, April 6, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.

This season, the Marlins are 0-8 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 6-2 ATS.

Marlins vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Marlins starting pitcher: Trevor Rogers 0-0, 7.21 ERA
• Cardinals starting pitcher: Steven Matz 0-0, 3.38 ERA

Marlins vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Marlins vs Cardinals and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

• Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.65 Units / 45% ROI)
• Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+11.25 Units / 36% ROI)
• Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+9.30 Units / 116% ROI)
• Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.20 Units / 54% ROI)
• Luis Arraez has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+9.15 Units / 36% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.85 Units / 70% ROI)
• Miles Mikolas has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.90 Units / 37% ROI)
• Brendan Donovan has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 games (+5.85 Units / 56% ROI)
• Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 5 games (+5.50 Units / 81% ROI)
• Victor Scott II has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.40 Units / 43% ROI)

Marlins Best Bets Today:

• The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 70 away games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
• The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 87% ROI)

Cardinals Best Bets Today:

• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 32 of their last 58 games (+5.80 Units / 9% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+5.50 Units / 21% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.82 Units / 37% ROI)
• The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in their last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 66% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 0-8 against the Run Line (-10.1 Units / -100% ROI).

• 0-8 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.95 Units / -100% ROI
• 7-1 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.95 Units / 68.79% ROI
• 1-7 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.8 Units / -75.98% ROI

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 6-2 against the Run Line (+4.4 Units / 42.11% ROI).

• 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.45 Units / 17.26% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -1.16% ROI
• 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.15 Units / -1.68% ROI

Cardinals vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Cardinals vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 54% (42/78) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has a strike rate of just 48% (13/27) when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 69% — first Percentile.

Trevor Rogers has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to April 14th, 2023 — the longest active streak is 8.

Right-handed hitters have a swing rate of just 40% (31/78) against Trevor Rogers this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 2 total IP; League Avg: 48% — seventh Percentile.

Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Steven Matz has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last eight games dating back to July 9th, 2023 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Steven Matz has walked 3 of 134 batters (2%) versus the bottom of the order since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.

Steven Matz allowed a slugging percentage of .352 (89 Total Bases / 253 ABs) with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .279 — seventh Percentile.

68% of Steven Matz’s called strikeouts are inside against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 132 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

  
Read Full Article