The Miami Marlins (+185) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-225) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.
The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Marlins vs Braves Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Marlins are 12-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 10-13 ATS.
Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+9.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.50 Units / 94% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vaughn Grissom has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 16 games (+8.90 Units / 56% ROI)
- Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.85 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 away games (+0.90 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 6 games (+0.70 Units / 11% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 games (+10.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.10 Units / 44% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 9-14 against the Run Line (-9.2 Units / -28.26% ROI).
- 12-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 6.6% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.3 Units / -29.03% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.1 Units / 20% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 10-13 against the Run Line (-3.05 Units / -11.34% ROI).
- 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 12.82% ROI
- 13-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.25 Units / 12.95% ROI
- 9-13 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.45 Units / -21.37% ROI
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 46% of the time (94/203) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 22% — 97th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (1,256/3,262) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 20% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 29 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.