Marlins vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 24
Marlins vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 24

The Miami Marlins (+220) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-275) on Monday, April 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta.

The Braves are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).

The Marlins vs Braves Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

This season, the Marlins are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 9-13 ATS.

Marlins vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Marlins vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Marlins and Braves and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jon Berti has hit the Runs Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+8.60 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Jorge Soler has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+8.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • Luis Arraez has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+7.50 Units / 94% ROI)
  • Garrett Cooper has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 53% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Sean Murphy has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.10 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Braves vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Jorge Soler 0.5 +425 0.5 -800
Sam Hilliard 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Braves vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Jorge Soler 0.5 -120 0.5 -110
Sam Hilliard 0.5 +100 0.5 -135
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 -145 0.5 +110
Garrett Cooper 0.5 -145 0.5 +110

Braves vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eddie Rosario 0.5 +170 0.5 -225
Jorge Soler 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Sam Hilliard 0.5 +260 0.5 -350
Jazz Chisholm 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Garrett Cooper 0.5 +260 0.5 -375

Braves vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Edward Cabrera 5.5 -145 5.5 +110
Spencer Strider 8.5 -150 8.5 +110

  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.95 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.20 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 5 away games (+1.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 2 of their last 5 games (+1.70 Units / 30% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+9.45 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 games (+9.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 games (+3.75 Units / 11% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Marlins have gone 9-13 against the Run Line (-8.2 Units / -25.99% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.7 Units / 10.91% ROI
  • 7-14 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -34.58% ROI
  • 14-7 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.15 Units / 25.15% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Braves have gone 9-13 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -15.79% ROI).

  • 14-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 10.92% ROI
  • 12-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 9.39% ROI
  • 9-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.4 Units / -18% ROI

Edward Cabrera has walked 9 of 32 batters (28%) versus the top of the order this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 0 Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has walked 49 of 373 batters (13%) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (41/222) against Edward Cabrera since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Edward Cabrera has a strike rate of just 57% (195/344) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Spencer Strider has a strikeout rate of 41% (36 SO in 88 PAs) this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.

Spencer Strider has struck out 44% (23/52) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 41% (260/626) against Spencer Strider since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 72 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

  
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